Yes, exceeds 3.0%
Option AThe BEA's advance estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is greater than 3.0%.
This question concerns the advance estimate of real GDP growth for the third quarter of 2026, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The estimate is seasonally adjusted and annualized.
The BEA's advance estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is greater than 3.0%.
The BEA's advance estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized real GDP growth for Q3 2026 is less than or equal to 3.0%.
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Permanent access to report version 1The question resolves based on the BEA's advance estimate of seasonally adjusted annualized real GDP growth for the third quarter of 2026. If the reported one-decimal value exceeds 3.0%, the outcome is YES. If it is 3.0% or lower, the outcome is NO. The market closes at 8:29 AM on the expected release day and expires at 10:00 AM on the release day, or three months after the expected release date if the data is not released by then. Resolution sources: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product, public source public source